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Mirra Andreeva v Karolina Pliskova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mirra Andreeva (Хозяева)
Прогноз 78.60%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.75%
Преимущество -1.40%
Kelly -7.01%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.19%78.55%78.43%80.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.04%82.64%80.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Karolina Pliskova (Гости)
Прогноз 21.40%4.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.23%
Преимущество +1.44%
Kelly +1.80%
Рост +0.130%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.01
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.44%21.45%21.57%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.334.405.0126.67%23.09%22.73%19.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mirra Andreeva (Хозяева): 78.60%; Karolina Pliskova (Гости): 21.40%. Для исхода «Karolina Pliskova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.67. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.01, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.23%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV +7.23%E +1.44%K +1.80%G +0.130% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +3.80%E +0.784%K +0.988%G +0.038% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.47%E -5.44%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.73%E +0.570%K +0.719%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.36%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 11:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -10.32%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.54%E -2.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -17.60%E -4.57%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |