Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva v Karolina Pliskova

Início: 2026-08-05 19:16 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 2–0 Karolina Pliskova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Previsão 78.60%1.27odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -7.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.19%78.55%78.43%80.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.04%82.64%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Pliskova (Visitante)

Previsão 21.40%4.67odd justa
EV +7.23%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.130%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.44%21.45%21.57%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.334.405.0126.67%23.09%22.73%19.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 78.60%; Karolina Pliskova (Visitante): 21.40%. Para Karolina Pliskova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.67. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV +7.23%E +1.44%K +1.80%G +0.130%2.6%2026-08-05 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +3.80%E +0.784%K +0.988%G +0.038%6.1%2026-08-05 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.47%E -5.44%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.73%E +0.570%K +0.719%G +0.020%4.9%2026-08-05 19:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-05 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-05 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-05 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.36%K -64.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001%8.2%2026-08-05 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 10:30
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 13:19
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:15
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:14
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 18:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:30
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:00
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 11:05
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:19
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:35
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:35
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -10.32%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:14
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.54%E -2.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:15
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 13:24
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -17.60%E -4.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-05 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 19:00
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 18:45
Novig◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%2.5%2026-08-05 19:15
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-08-05 19:15
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-08-05 19:15