Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva v Karolina Pliskova

2026-08-05 18:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Predicción 74.48%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -7.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%74.44%74.47%75.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.65%78.74%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Pliskova (Visitante)

Predicción 25.52%3.92momio equitativo
EV +0.788%
Ventaja +0.199%
Kelly +0.267%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.30%25.56%25.53%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.753.9529.41%27.07%26.67%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 74.48%; Karolina Pliskova (Visitante): 25.52%. Para Karolina Pliskova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.92. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.95, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.788%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.788%E +0.199%K +0.267%G +0.002%3.4%2026-08-04 08:40
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -0.488%E -0.125%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.76%E -0.458%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 20:50
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.76%E -0.458%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 12:05
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 20:49
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 08:30
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.13%E -7.48%K -41.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 10:05
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -2.43%E -1.85%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV -3.29%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 08:30
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -3.29%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:00
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -3.29%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -3.29%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 15:04
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 09:54
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 08:26
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 12:49
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:49
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:30
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:29
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 09:49
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 19:54
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:30
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:29
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:58
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 19:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 09:50
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -6.36%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 09:54
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -6.36%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 09:54
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:29
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:44
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 09:54
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -7.63%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:14
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:30
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:30
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:29
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:40
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:20
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 08:50
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 14:39
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 23:20
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 15:05
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 12:39
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:49
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 09:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 14:09
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.89%E -5.52%K -27.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 14:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-04 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-04 21:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-04 21:10
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-08-04 23:30
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-08-04 23:25
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-08-04 23:40