StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mirra Andreeva v Karolina Pliskova

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-05 19:16 UTC

Endstand: Mirra Andreeva 2–0 Karolina Pliskova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mirra Andreeva (Heim)

Prognose 78.60%1.27faire Quote
EV -1.75%
Vorteil -1.40%
Kelly -7.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.19%78.55%78.43%80.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.04%82.64%80.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Pliskova (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.40%4.67faire Quote
EV +7.23%
Vorteil +1.44%
Kelly +1.80%
Wachstum +0.130%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.01

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.44%21.45%21.57%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.334.405.0126.67%23.09%22.73%19.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mirra Andreeva (Heim): 78.60%; Karolina Pliskova (Auswärts): 21.40%. Für Karolina Pliskova (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.67. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.01 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.23%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV +7.23%E +1.44%K +1.80%G +0.130%2.6%2026-08-05 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +3.80%E +0.784%K +0.988%G +0.038%6.1%2026-08-05 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.47%E -5.44%K -34.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.73%E +0.570%K +0.719%G +0.020%4.9%2026-08-05 19:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-05 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007%5.8%2026-08-05 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-05 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.36%K -64.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001%8.2%2026-08-05 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 10:30
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 13:19
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:15
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:14
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 18:30
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:30
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 19:00
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 11:05
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 13:19
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:35
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:35
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -10.32%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:14
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.54%E -2.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:15
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:14
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 13:24
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -17.60%E -4.57%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-05 19:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 19:00
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-05 18:45
Novig◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%2.5%2026-08-05 19:15
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-08-05 19:15
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-08-05 19:15