預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego

開賽時間: 2026-07-04 16:45 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Taylor Fritz (主隊)

預測 85.09%1.18公平賠率
EV -2.99%
優勢 -2.63%
Kelly -21.38%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.14

博彩公司預測分布
81.43%85.04%85.07%87.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.17%90.09%87.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lorenzo Sonego (客隊)

預測 14.91%6.71公平賠率
EV +10.31%
優勢 +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
成長率 +0.166%

假設最高賠率為 7.40

博彩公司預測分布
12.94%14.96%14.93%18.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.006.366.257.4020.00%15.71%16.00%13.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Taylor Fritz (主隊):85.09%;Lorenzo Sonego (客隊):14.91%。 對於「Lorenzo Sonego (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.71的公平十進位賠率。 當時有14家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.40,對應+10.31%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +10.31%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.166%4.4%2026-07-04 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +7.47%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.090%3.2%2026-07-04 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:39
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-04 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003%4.0%2026-07-04 16:25
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003%4.0%2026-07-04 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-04 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.6%2026-07-04 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.62%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 16:40
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.51%E -0.384%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 16:37
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:38
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:25
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 16:39
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.86%E -0.598%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.719%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.57%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -6.39%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 16:25
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:39
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 16:40
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.29%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.02%E -3.28%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 16:40
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.47%E -5.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 16:39
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19%1.1%2026-07-04 16:40
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-07-04 16:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07%3.0%2026-07-04 16:40