La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 85.09%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -21.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%85.04%85.07%87.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.17%90.09%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lorenzo Sonego (Visitante)
Predicción 14.91%6.71momio equitativo
EV +10.31%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.166%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.94%14.96%14.93%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.366.257.4020.00%15.71%16.00%13.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +10.31%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.166% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +7.47%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.090% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetUS | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.62%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.51%E -0.384%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.86%E -0.598%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.719%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -6.39%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Neds | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Fliff | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.29%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.02%E -3.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.47%E -5.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |