L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 85.09%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -21.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%85.04%85.07%87.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.17%90.09%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lorenzo Sonego (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.91%6.71cote équitable
EV +10.31%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.166%
avec la cote maximale 7.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.94%14.96%14.93%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.366.257.4020.00%15.71%16.00%13.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +10.31%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.166% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +7.47%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.090% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetUS | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.62%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.51%E -0.384%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.86%E -0.598%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.719%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -6.39%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Neds | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Fliff | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.29%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.02%E -3.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.47%E -5.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |