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Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Taylor Fritz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 85.09%1.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.99%
Преимущество -2.63%
Kelly -21.38%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.14
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
81.43%85.04%85.07%87.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.17%90.09%87.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lorenzo Sonego (Гости)
Прогноз 14.91%6.71справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.31%
Преимущество +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
Рост +0.166%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.94%14.96%14.93%18.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.006.366.257.4020.00%15.71%16.00%13.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Taylor Fritz (Хозяева): 85.09%; Lorenzo Sonego (Гости): 14.91%. Для исхода «Lorenzo Sonego (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.71. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +10.31%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +10.31%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.166% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +7.47%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.090% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.62%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.51%E -0.384%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.86%E -0.598%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.719%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -6.39%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.29%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.02%E -3.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.47%E -5.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |