The School of Odds

Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego

Matchstart: 2026-07-04 16:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Hemma)

Prognos 85.09%1.18rättvist odds
EV -2.99%
Fördel -2.63%
Kelly -21.38%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.43%85.04%85.07%87.06%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.17%90.09%87.72%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Lorenzo Sonego (Borta)

Prognos 14.91%6.71rättvist odds
EV +10.31%
Fördel +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
Tillväxt +0.166%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.94%14.96%14.93%18.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.006.366.257.4020.00%15.71%16.00%13.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +10.31%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.166%4.4%2026-07-04 16:25
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +7.47%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.090%3.2%2026-07-04 16:40
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:39
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%5.2%2026-07-04 16:25
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-04 16:40
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031%6.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003%4.0%2026-07-04 16:25
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003%4.0%2026-07-04 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.1%2026-07-04 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.6%2026-07-04 16:25
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.62%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 16:40
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.51%E -0.384%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 16:37
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:35
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 16:38
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 16:25
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:24
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 16:25
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 16:39
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.86%E -0.598%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:25
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.719%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:30
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.57%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -6.39%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 16:35
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:25
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 16:25
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 16:25
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 16:35
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:40
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:40
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:40
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 16:39
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 16:35
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 16:35
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 16:39
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 16:40
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 16:40
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 16:40
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 16:40
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.29%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 16:38
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.02%E -3.28%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 16:40
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.47%E -5.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 16:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-07-04 16:40
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19%1.1%2026-07-04 16:40
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-07-04 16:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07%3.0%2026-07-04 16:40