语言:简体中文
Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Taylor Fritz (主队)
预测 85.09%1.18公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -2.63%
Kelly -21.38%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
81.43%85.04%85.07%87.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.17%90.09%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lorenzo Sonego (客队)
预测 14.91%6.71公平赔率
EV +10.31%
优势 +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.166%
假设最高赔率为 7.40
博彩公司预测分布
12.94%14.96%14.93%18.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.006.366.257.4020.00%15.71%16.00%13.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Taylor Fritz (主队)：85.09%；Lorenzo Sonego (客队)：14.91%。 对于“Lorenzo Sonego (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.71。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.40，对应+10.31%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +10.31%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.166% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +7.47%E +1.04%K +1.20%G +0.090% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.34%E +0.620%K +0.724%G +0.031% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +1.36%E +0.200%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +0.616%E +0.091%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.62%E -0.245%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -2.51%E -0.384%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 16:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.11%E -0.478%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.86%E -0.598%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -4.60%E -0.719%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -6.39%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.84%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.65%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.35%EV -8.77%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -9.07%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.55%E -5.00%K -50.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.25%E -6.65%K -80.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.10%E -7.50%K -101.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.56%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -12.05%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.40%E -5.82%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.29%E -2.49%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 16:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.02%E -3.28%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.99%E -2.63%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -25.47%E -5.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 16:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.93% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.07% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |