Language:English
Taylor Fritz v Dusan Lajovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 92.27%1.08fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -18.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%92.14%92.28%95.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0799.01%96.82%97.09%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dusan Lajovic (Visit)
Prediction 7.73%12.94fair odd
EV +62.35%
Edge +2.97%
Kelly +3.12%
Growth +1.94%
assuming max odds 21.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.63%7.86%7.72%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0011.6311.0021.0012.50%8.60%9.09%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 92.27%; Dusan Lajovic (Visit): 7.73%. For Dusan Lajovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.94. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 21.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +62.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +62.35%E +2.97%K +3.12%G +1.94% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +19.06%E +1.24%K +1.32%G +0.252% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.96%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.182% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 14.93I 6.70%NM 6.45%EV +15.42%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.171% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +12.10%E +0.834%K +0.896%G +0.108% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +3.21%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:07 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%EV -1.27%E -1.19%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.43%EV -10.17%E -0.875%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.10%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.03%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -23.08%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -26.94%E -2.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -38.15%E -4.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |