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Taylor Fritz v Dusan Lajovic
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Taylor Fritz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 92.27%1.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.27%
Преимущество -1.19%
Kelly -18.17%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.07
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
88.30%92.14%92.28%95.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.011.031.031.0799.01%96.82%97.09%93.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Dusan Lajovic (Гости)
Прогноз 7.73%12.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +62.35%
Преимущество +2.97%
Kelly +3.12%
Рост +1.94%
при максимальном коэффициенте 21.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.63%7.86%7.72%11.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.0011.6311.0021.0012.50%8.60%9.09%4.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Taylor Fritz (Хозяева): 92.27%; Dusan Lajovic (Гости): 7.73%. Для исхода «Dusan Lajovic (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 12.94. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 21.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +62.35%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +62.35%E +2.97%K +3.12%G +1.94% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +19.06%E +1.24%K +1.32%G +0.252% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.96%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.182% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 14.93I 6.70%NM 6.45%EV +15.42%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.171% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +12.10%E +0.834%K +0.896%G +0.108% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +3.21%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:07 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%EV -1.27%E -1.19%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.43%EV -10.17%E -0.875%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.10%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.03%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -23.08%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -26.94%E -2.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -38.15%E -4.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:07 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |