La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Dusan Lajovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 92.27%1.08momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -18.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.30%92.14%92.28%95.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.031.031.0799.01%96.82%97.09%93.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dusan Lajovic (Visitante)
Predicción 7.73%12.94momio equitativo
EV +62.35%
Ventaja +2.97%
Kelly +3.12%
Crecimiento +1.94%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 21.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.63%7.86%7.72%11.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0011.6311.0021.0012.50%8.60%9.09%4.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +62.35%E +2.97%K +3.12%G +1.94% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +19.06%E +1.24%K +1.32%G +0.252% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.96%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.182% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 14.93I 6.70%NM 6.45%EV +15.42%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.171% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +12.10%E +0.834%K +0.896%G +0.108% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +3.21%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| 888sport | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 12:07 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| ReBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Bovada | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| William Hill | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| GTbets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%EV -1.27%E -1.19%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 11.62I 8.61%NM 8.43%EV -10.17%E -0.875%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.10%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.03%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Neds | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Everygame | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Casumo | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Unibet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| betPARX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Caesars | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -23.08%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 12:08 |
| Fliff | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -26.94%E -2.85%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 12:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -38.15%E -4.77%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 12:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 1.9% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Novig | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 12:10 |