默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Taylor Fritz v Dusan Lajovic

开赛时间: 2026-06-30 12:12 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Taylor Fritz (主队)

预测 92.27%1.08公平赔率
EV -1.27%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -18.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
88.30%92.14%92.28%95.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.031.031.0799.01%96.82%97.09%93.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dusan Lajovic (客队)

预测 7.73%12.94公平赔率
EV +62.35%
优势 +2.97%
Kelly +3.12%
增长率 +1.94%

假设最高赔率为 21.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.63%7.86%7.72%11.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.0011.6311.0021.0012.50%8.60%9.09%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Taylor Fritz (主队):92.27%;Dusan Lajovic (客队):7.73%。 对于“Dusan Lajovic (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.94。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为21.00,对应+62.35%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +62.35%E +2.97%K +3.12%G +1.94%2.8%2026-06-30 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +19.06%E +1.24%K +1.32%G +0.252%2.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.96%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.182%3.8%2026-06-30 12:08
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%14.93I 6.70%NM 6.45%EV +15.42%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.171%3.8%2026-06-30 12:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +12.10%E +0.834%K +0.896%G +0.108%4.9%2026-06-30 12:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +3.21%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%4.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 12:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:09
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:09
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:07
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 12:00
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:09
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:10
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:59
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:09
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 12:09
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%EV -1.27%E -1.19%K -18.17%G +0.000%11.62I 8.61%NM 8.43%EV -10.17%E -0.875%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.10%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.03%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:08
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:08
Everygame🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:59
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:00
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 12:09
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 12:00
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -23.08%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:08
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -26.94%E -2.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 12:05
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -38.15%E -4.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:07
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-06-30 12:10
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%1.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.8%2026-06-30 12:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-06-30 12:09
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%6.5%2026-06-30 12:10