A Escola das Odds

Taylor Fritz v Dusan Lajovic

Início: 2026-06-30 12:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Previsão 92.27%1.08odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -18.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.30%92.14%92.28%95.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.031.031.0799.01%96.82%97.09%93.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dusan Lajovic (Visitante)

Previsão 7.73%12.94odd justa
EV +62.35%
Vantagem +2.97%
Kelly +3.12%
Crescimento +1.94%

pressupondo odds máximas de 21.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.63%7.86%7.72%11.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.0011.6311.0021.0012.50%8.60%9.09%4.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +62.35%E +2.97%K +3.12%G +1.94%2.8%2026-06-30 12:10
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +19.06%E +1.24%K +1.32%G +0.252%2.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.96%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.182%3.8%2026-06-30 12:08
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%14.93I 6.70%NM 6.45%EV +15.42%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.171%3.8%2026-06-30 12:10
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +12.10%E +0.834%K +0.896%G +0.108%4.9%2026-06-30 12:08
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
BetAnything1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +3.21%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%4.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 12:10
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 12:08
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:09
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:09
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Marathon Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:07
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:00
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 12:00
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:09
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:10
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:59
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:09
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 12:09
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%EV -1.27%E -1.19%K -18.17%G +0.000%11.62I 8.61%NM 8.43%EV -10.17%E -0.875%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.10%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:58
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.03%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:59
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:08
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:00
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:08
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:59
betfred_uk1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:09
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 12:10
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:00
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:58
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:09
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:09
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 12:09
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 12:00
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -23.08%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:10
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:08
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -26.94%E -2.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 12:05
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -38.15%E -4.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-06-30 12:10
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%1.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.8%2026-06-30 12:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-06-30 12:09
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%6.5%2026-06-30 12:10