L’École des cotes

Taylor Fritz v Dusan Lajovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 12:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Prévision 92.27%1.08cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -18.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%92.14%92.28%95.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0799.01%96.82%97.09%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dusan Lajovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.73%12.94cote équitable
EV +62.35%
Avantage +2.97%
Kelly +3.12%
Croissance +1.94%

avec la cote maximale 21.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.63%7.86%7.72%11.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0011.6311.0021.0012.50%8.60%9.09%4.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +62.35%E +2.97%K +3.12%G +1.94%2.8%2026-06-30 12:10
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.67%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%15.40I 6.49%NM 6.33%EV +19.06%E +1.24%K +1.32%G +0.252%2.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.96%E +1.06%K +1.14%G +0.182%3.8%2026-06-30 12:08
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%14.93I 6.70%NM 6.45%EV +15.42%E +1.03%K +1.11%G +0.171%3.8%2026-06-30 12:10
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +12.10%E +0.834%K +0.896%G +0.108%4.9%2026-06-30 12:08
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +8.23%E +0.588%K +0.633%G +0.052%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
BetAnything1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.35I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +3.21%E +0.240%K +0.260%G +0.008%4.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 12:10
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 12:08
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:09
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 12:09
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +0.501%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Marathon Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 12:07
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -3.36%E -0.269%K -0.293%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 12:00
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 12:00
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 11:59
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:09
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:10
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 11:59
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:09
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -7.23%E -0.602%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 12:09
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%EV -1.27%E -1.19%K -18.17%G +0.000%11.62I 8.61%NM 8.43%EV -10.17%E -0.875%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.10%E -0.965%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:58
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.03%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 11:59
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:08
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:00
Dabble (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:08
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:59
betfred_uk1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.96%E -1.36%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:59
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:09
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 12:10
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -18.83%E -1.79%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-30 12:10
BetRivers1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:00
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.12%E -2.97%K -62.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 12:10
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:58
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:09
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 12:09
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 12:09
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.96%E -4.82%K -165.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -22.69%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 12:00
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -23.08%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 11:59
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:09
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.04%E -3.88%K -101.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 12:10
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -6.81%E -6.74%K -680.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -26.56%E -2.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 12:08
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 90.26%EV -5.89%E -5.77%K -294.27%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.74%EV -26.94%E -2.85%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 12:05
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -2.19%E -2.07%K -36.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -38.15%E -4.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 12:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-06-30 12:10
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-06-30 12:10
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 94.54%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.46%1.7%2026-06-30 12:10
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.8%2026-06-30 12:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-06-30 12:09
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.02%11.76I 8.50%NM 7.98%6.5%2026-06-30 12:10