The School of OddsLanguage:English
Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 66.55%1.50fair odd
EV -0.846%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.30%66.54%66.74%69.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.401.4974.07%70.81%71.43%67.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 33.45%2.99fair odd
EV +4.38%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.06%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.94%33.46%33.26%35.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.632.872.883.1238.02%34.85%34.72%32.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV +4.38%E +1.40%K +2.06%G +0.090% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.71%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.065% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.04%E +0.986%K +1.46%G +0.044% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 16:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.16%E -7.53%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 17:06 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.31%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.17%E -4.38%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.33%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -0.846%E -0.568%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Fliff | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.01%E -3.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.18%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 17:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |