默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik

开赛时间: 2026-07-06 17:14 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Taylor Fritz (主队)

预测 66.55%1.50公平赔率
EV -0.846%
优势 -0.568%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.49

博彩公司预测分布
64.30%66.54%66.74%69.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.401.4974.07%70.81%71.43%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alexander Bublik (客队)

预测 33.45%2.99公平赔率
EV +4.38%
优势 +1.40%
Kelly +2.06%
增长率 +0.090%

假设最高赔率为 3.12

博彩公司预测分布
30.94%33.46%33.26%35.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.872.883.1238.02%34.85%34.72%32.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Taylor Fritz (主队):66.55%;Alexander Bublik (客队):33.45%。 对于“Alexander Bublik (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.99。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.12,对应+4.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV +4.38%E +1.40%K +2.06%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-06 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.71%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.065%4.2%2026-07-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.04%E +0.986%K +1.46%G +0.044%4.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.8%2026-07-06 16:48
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-06 17:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.16%E -7.53%K -29.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%7.4%2026-07-06 17:06
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.31%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:05
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.17%E -4.38%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.33%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -0.846%E -0.568%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:49
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:04
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.01%E -3.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.18%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-07-06 17:05