La scuola delle quote

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik

Inizio: 2026-07-06 17:14 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Casa)

Previsione 66.55%1.50quota equa
EV -0.846%
Vantaggio -0.568%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.30%66.54%66.74%69.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.411.401.4974.07%70.81%71.43%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Bublik (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.45%2.99quota equa
EV +4.38%
Vantaggio +1.40%
Kelly +2.06%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.94%33.46%33.26%35.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.872.883.1238.02%34.85%34.72%32.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV +4.38%E +1.40%K +2.06%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-06 17:05
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.71%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.065%4.2%2026-07-06 17:10
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.04%E +0.986%K +1.46%G +0.044%4.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.8%2026-07-06 16:48
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-06 17:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:54
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.16%E -7.53%K -29.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%7.4%2026-07-06 17:06
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.31%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:05
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:00
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:06
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:49
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:10
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 16:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.17%E -4.38%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.33%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -0.846%E -0.568%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:04
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 17:10
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.01%E -3.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.18%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:09
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-07-06 17:05