Szkoła Kursów

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik

Początek: 2026-07-06 17:14 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 66.55%1.50kurs godziwy
EV -0.846%
Przewaga -0.568%
Kelly -1.73%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.30%66.54%66.74%69.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.411.401.4974.07%70.81%71.43%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Bublik (Goście)

Prognoza 33.45%2.99kurs godziwy
EV +4.38%
Przewaga +1.40%
Kelly +2.06%
Wzrost +0.090%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.94%33.46%33.26%35.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.872.883.1238.02%34.85%34.72%32.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV +4.38%E +1.40%K +2.06%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-06 17:05
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.71%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.065%4.2%2026-07-06 17:10
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.04%E +0.986%K +1.46%G +0.044%4.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.8%2026-07-06 16:48
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-06 17:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:54
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.16%E -7.53%K -29.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%7.4%2026-07-06 17:06
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.31%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:05
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:00
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:06
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:49
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:10
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 16:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.17%E -4.38%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.33%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -0.846%E -0.568%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:04
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 17:10
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.01%E -3.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.18%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:09
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-07-06 17:05