Школа коэффициентов

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik

Начало: 2026-07-06 17:14 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Taylor Fritz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 66.55%1.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.846%
Преимущество -0.568%
Kelly -1.73%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.49

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.30%66.54%66.74%69.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.411.401.4974.07%70.81%71.43%67.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alexander Bublik (Гости)

Прогноз 33.45%2.99справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.38%
Преимущество +1.40%
Kelly +2.06%
Рост +0.090%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.12

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.94%33.46%33.26%35.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.872.883.1238.02%34.85%34.72%32.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV +4.38%E +1.40%K +2.06%G +0.090%2.5%2026-07-06 17:05
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.71%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.065%4.2%2026-07-06 17:10
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.04%E +0.986%K +1.46%G +0.044%4.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.8%2026-07-06 16:48
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-06 17:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-06 16:54
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.16%E -7.53%K -29.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001%7.4%2026-07-06 17:06
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.31%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:05
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:00
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 17:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:06
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 16:49
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 17:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:10
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 16:50
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 16:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.17%E -4.38%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 16:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:04
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.33%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -0.846%E -0.568%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 17:10
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:04
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 16:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:50
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 16:50
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-06 17:10
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.01%E -3.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.18%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:10
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:09
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-06 17:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-07-06 17:10
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-07-06 17:05