La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 66.55%1.50momio equitativo
EV -0.846%
Ventaja -0.568%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.30%66.54%66.74%69.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.401.4974.07%70.81%71.43%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 33.45%2.99momio equitativo
EV +4.38%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.94%33.46%33.26%35.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.872.883.1238.02%34.85%34.72%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV +4.38%E +1.40%K +2.06%G +0.090% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.71%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.065% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +3.04%E +0.986%K +1.46%G +0.044% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 16:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -10.16%E -7.53%K -29.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +0.362%E +0.121%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 17:06 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.31%E -0.444%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -2.31%E -0.793%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.17%E -5.92%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.65%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.99%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.17%E -4.38%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.50%E -6.98%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.33%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.84%E -3.38%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.01%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.33%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.33%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -0.846%E -0.568%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.51%E -2.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.17%E -2.90%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 16:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.50%E -3.88%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.88%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.00%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Fliff | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.50%E -5.40%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.67%E -3.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -1.51%E -1.02%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.01%E -3.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.18%E -1.48%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.35%E -4.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 17:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -2.84%E -1.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -12.02%E -4.57%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-06 17:10 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |