The School of Odds

Nicolas Mejia v Michael Zheng

Matchstart: 2026-07-01 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Nicolas Mejia (Hemma)

Prognos 22.14%4.52rättvist odds
EV +6.28%
Fördel +1.31%
Kelly +1.65%
Tillväxt +0.104%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.00%22.54%22.02%27.77%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.464.224.104.8028.90%23.72%24.39%20.83%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Michael Zheng (Borta)

Prognos 77.86%1.28rättvist odds
EV +3.55%
Fördel +2.67%
Kelly +10.76%
Tillväxt +0.382%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.23%77.46%77.98%80.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.151.211.211.3386.96%82.89%82.64%75.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -23.39%E -6.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV +3.55%E +2.67%K +10.76%G +0.382%4.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:43
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.97%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 11:48
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.45%E -2.79%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 11:49
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:50
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
DraftKings4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV +0.078%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 11:50
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.58%E -0.586%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +6.28%E +1.31%K +1.65%G +0.104%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 11:50
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:50
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:50
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:50
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 11:50
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 11:49
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.54%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:50
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:50
NordicBet4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Betsson4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-01 11:50
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.46%E -9.10%K -69.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-01 11:50
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-01 11:50
ProphetX4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23%2.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%2.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%7.4%2026-07-01 11:50