L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nicolas Mejia v Michael Zheng
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV +6.28%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.104%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%22.54%22.02%27.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.464.224.104.8028.90%23.72%24.39%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Michael Zheng (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.86%1.28cote équitable
EV +3.55%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +10.76%
Croissance +0.382%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.23%77.46%77.98%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.211.3386.96%82.89%82.64%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -23.39%E -6.76%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV +3.55%E +2.67%K +10.76%G +0.382% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.97%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.45%E -2.79%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV +0.078%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.58%E -0.586%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +6.28%E +1.31%K +1.65%G +0.104% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.54%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.46%E -9.10%K -69.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |