Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Nicolas Mejia v Michael Zheng
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Nicolas Mejia (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 22.14%4.52kurs godziwy
EV +6.28%
Przewaga +1.31%
Kelly +1.65%
Wzrost +0.104%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.00%22.54%22.02%27.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.464.224.104.8028.90%23.72%24.39%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Michael Zheng (Goście)
Prognoza 77.86%1.28kurs godziwy
EV +3.55%
Przewaga +2.67%
Kelly +10.76%
Wzrost +0.382%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.23%77.46%77.98%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.211.211.3386.96%82.89%82.64%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -23.39%E -6.76%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV +3.55%E +2.67%K +10.76%G +0.382% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.97%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.45%E -2.79%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV +0.078%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.58%E -0.586%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +6.28%E +1.31%K +1.65%G +0.104% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.54%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.46%E -9.10%K -69.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |