La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nicolas Mejia v Michael Zheng
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nicolas Mejia (Casa)
Previsione 22.14%4.52quota equa
EV +6.28%
Vantaggio +1.31%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescita +0.104%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.00%22.54%22.02%27.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.464.224.104.8028.90%23.72%24.39%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Michael Zheng (Trasferta)
Previsione 77.86%1.28quota equa
EV +3.55%
Vantaggio +2.67%
Kelly +10.76%
Crescita +0.382%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.23%77.46%77.98%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.211.211.3386.96%82.89%82.64%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -23.39%E -6.76%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV +3.55%E +2.67%K +10.76%G +0.382% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.97%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.45%E -2.79%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV +0.078%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.58%E -0.586%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +6.28%E +1.31%K +1.65%G +0.104% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.54%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.46%E -9.10%K -69.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |