مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Nicolas Mejia v Michael Zheng
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nicolas Mejia (المضيف)
التنبؤ 22.14%4.52السعر العادل
EV +6.28%
الأفضلية +1.31%
Kelly +1.65%
النمو +0.104%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.00%22.54%22.02%27.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.464.224.104.8028.90%23.72%24.39%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Michael Zheng (الضيف)
التنبؤ 77.86%1.28السعر العادل
EV +3.55%
الأفضلية +2.67%
Kelly +10.76%
النمو +0.382%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.23%77.46%77.98%80.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.211.211.3386.96%82.89%82.64%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -23.39%E -6.76%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV +3.55%E +2.67%K +10.76%G +0.382% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 11:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.97%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.45%E -2.79%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV +0.078%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.58%E -0.586%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +6.28%E +1.31%K +1.65%G +0.104% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-01 11:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.54%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.46%E -9.10%K -69.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| ProphetX | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| Novig | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |