Die Wettquotenschule

Nicolas Mejia v Michael Zheng

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 12:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nicolas Mejia (Heim)

Prognose 22.14%4.52faire Quote
EV +6.28%
Vorteil +1.31%
Kelly +1.65%
Wachstum +0.104%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.00%22.54%22.02%27.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.464.224.104.8028.90%23.72%24.39%20.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Michael Zheng (Auswärts)

Prognose 77.86%1.28faire Quote
EV +3.55%
Vorteil +2.67%
Kelly +10.76%
Wachstum +0.382%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.23%77.46%77.98%80.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.151.211.211.3386.96%82.89%82.64%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -23.39%E -6.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV +3.55%E +2.67%K +10.76%G +0.382%4.1%2026-07-01 11:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 11:43
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.97%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 11:48
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.45%E -2.79%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.23%E -3.44%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 11:49
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 11:50
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.01%E -4.11%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
DraftKings4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV +0.078%E +0.017%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 11:50
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.58%E -0.586%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.79%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 11:50
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +6.28%E +1.31%K +1.65%G +0.104%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 11:50
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 11:50
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:50
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 11:50
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 11:50
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.57%E -5.47%K -32.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 11:49
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.54%E -3.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.35%E -6.17%K -38.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:50
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +1.85%E +0.402%K +0.514%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:50
NordicBet4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Betsson4.24I 23.58%NM 21.77%EV -6.12%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -8.13%E -6.89%K -45.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 11:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.365%E -0.081%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.91%E -7.61%K -52.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-01 11:50
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -10.46%E -9.10%K -69.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-01 11:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-01 11:50
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-01 11:50
ProphetX4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23%2.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%2.9%2026-07-01 11:50
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%7.4%2026-07-01 11:50