StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marco Trungelliti v Martin Damm Jr.

Matchstart: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marco Trungelliti (Hemma)

Prognos 23.37%4.28rättvist odds
EV +9.36%
Fördel +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
Tillväxt +0.238%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.81%23.46%23.22%26.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.454.064.104.6828.99%24.65%24.39%21.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Martin Damm Jr. (Borta)

Prognos 76.63%1.30rättvist odds
EV -1.91%
Fördel -1.49%
Kelly -6.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.40%76.54%76.78%79.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.84%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marco Trungelliti (Hemma): 23.37%; Martin Damm Jr. (Borta): 76.63%. För Marco Trungelliti (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.28. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.68, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +9.36%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.238%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:57
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.272%K +0.354%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.479%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.690%E -0.162%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -1.39%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -2.33%E -0.556%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.36%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:46
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -13.54%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -19.38%E -5.62%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-29 09:59
ProphetX4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00