مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marco Trungelliti v Martin Damm Jr.

البداية: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.37%4.28السعر العادل
EV +9.36%
الأفضلية +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
النمو +0.238%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.81%23.46%23.22%26.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.454.064.104.6828.99%24.65%24.39%21.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.63%1.30السعر العادل
EV -1.91%
الأفضلية -1.49%
Kelly -6.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.40%76.54%76.78%79.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.84%80.65%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +9.36%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.238%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:57
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.272%K +0.354%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.479%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.690%E -0.162%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -1.39%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -2.33%E -0.556%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:45
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.36%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:46
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -13.54%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -19.38%E -5.62%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-29 09:59
ProphetX4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00