Sprache:Deutsch
Marco Trungelliti v Martin Damm Jr.
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Marco Trungelliti (Heim)
Prognose 23.37%4.28faire Quote
EV +9.36%
Vorteil +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
Wachstum +0.238%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.68
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.81%23.46%23.22%26.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.454.064.104.6828.99%24.65%24.39%21.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Martin Damm Jr. (Auswärts)
Prognose 76.63%1.30faire Quote
EV -1.91%
Vorteil -1.49%
Kelly -6.82%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.40%76.54%76.78%79.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.84%80.65%78.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marco Trungelliti (Heim): 23.37%; Martin Damm Jr. (Auswärts): 76.63%. Für Marco Trungelliti (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.28. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.68 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +9.36%.
Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +9.36%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.238% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.272%K +0.354%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.479%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.690%E -0.162%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -1.39%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -2.33%E -0.556%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.36%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -13.54%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -19.38%E -5.62%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |