Szkoła Kursów

Marco Trungelliti v Martin Damm Jr.

Początek: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 23.37%4.28kurs godziwy
EV +9.36%
Przewaga +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
Wzrost +0.238%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.81%23.46%23.22%26.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.454.064.104.6828.99%24.65%24.39%21.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Martin Damm Jr. (Goście)

Prognoza 76.63%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -1.91%
Przewaga -1.49%
Kelly -6.82%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
73.40%76.54%76.78%79.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.84%80.65%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +9.36%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.238%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:57
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.272%K +0.354%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.479%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.690%E -0.162%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -1.39%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -2.33%E -0.556%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:45
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.36%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:46
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -13.54%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -19.38%E -5.62%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-29 09:59
ProphetX4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00