A Escola das Odds

Marco Trungelliti v Martin Damm Jr.

Início: 2026-06-29 10:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Marco Trungelliti (Local)

Previsão 23.37%4.28odd justa
EV +9.36%
Vantagem +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
Crescimento +0.238%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.81%23.46%23.22%26.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.454.064.104.6828.99%24.65%24.39%21.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Martin Damm Jr. (Visitante)

Previsão 76.63%1.30odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -6.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.40%76.54%76.78%79.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.84%80.65%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +9.36%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.238%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 09:58
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:57
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 09:59
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.272%K +0.354%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 09:59
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.479%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 09:59
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.690%E -0.162%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 09:59
DraftKings4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -1.39%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:00
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 09:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
GTbets4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -2.33%E -0.556%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 09:45
PointsBet (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:58
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 10:00
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.36%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
MyBookie.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 09:59
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 09:46
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 09:59
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 10:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 09:59
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 10:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 10:00
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 10:00
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 09:58
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Dabble (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 09:59
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 09:58
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -13.54%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
NordicBet3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Betsson3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-29 10:00
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -19.38%E -5.62%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 09:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-29 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-06-29 09:59
ProphetX4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%1.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-06-29 10:00
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-06-29 10:00