L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Marco Trungelliti v Martin Damm Jr.
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marco Trungelliti (Local)
Prévision 23.37%4.28cote équitable
EV +9.36%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
Croissance +0.238%
avec la cote maximale 4.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.81%23.46%23.22%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.454.064.104.6828.99%24.65%24.39%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Martin Damm Jr. (Visiteur)
Prévision 76.63%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -6.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.40%76.54%76.78%79.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.84%80.65%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +9.36%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.238% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:57 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.15%E +1.14%K +1.47%G +0.076% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.04%E -6.70%K -40.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.65%E +0.379%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.18%E +0.272%K +0.354%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.479%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.690%E -0.162%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.43%EV -1.39%E -0.330%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.57%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| ReBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.86%E -0.442%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| GTbets | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -2.33%E -0.556%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 09:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.03%E -0.729%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bally Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.19%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.36%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.74%E -4.67%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.53%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-29 09:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.70%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -1.91%E -1.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| BetAnything | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.98%E -4.01%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.87%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.04%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.20%E -2.95%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.37%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.51%E -5.33%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-29 09:58 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -13.54%E -3.66%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -2.68%E -2.11%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betsson | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -14.24%E -3.88%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -3.44%E -2.73%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -19.38%E -5.62%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -4.21%E -3.37%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 09:59 |
| ProphetX | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 1.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Novig | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03% | 2.5% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 10:00 |