Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Jaume Munar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 74.47%1.34fair odd
EV -0.957%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%74.31%74.30%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.62%78.43%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaume Munar (Visit)
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV +8.51%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.223%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%25.69%25.70%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.613.604.2531.25%27.69%27.74%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 74.47%; Jaume Munar (Visit): 25.53%. For Jaume Munar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.51%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.223% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.66%E +0.901%K +1.20%G +0.044% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 13:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.30%E -5.72%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |