Szkoła Kursów

Jiri Lehecka v Jaume Munar

Początek: 2026-07-04 14:02 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 74.47%1.34kurs godziwy
EV -0.957%
Przewaga -0.719%
Kelly -2.90%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.96%74.31%74.30%77.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.62%78.43%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jaume Munar (Goście)

Prognoza 25.53%3.92kurs godziwy
EV +8.51%
Przewaga +2.00%
Kelly +2.62%
Wzrost +0.223%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.30%25.69%25.70%29.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.613.604.2531.25%27.69%27.74%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.51%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.223%5.5%2026-07-04 13:59
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.66%E +0.901%K +1.20%G +0.044%2.8%2026-07-04 13:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015%5.0%2026-07-04 13:45
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015%5.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015%7.0%2026-07-04 13:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 13:45
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 13:44
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 13:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 13:59
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 14:00
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 13:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 13:45
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 13:44
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:45
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 13:55
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 13:59
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 14:00
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 13:45
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 14:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:58
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 14:00
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 14:00
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:00
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 13:45
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:00
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:45
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 14:00
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.30%E -5.72%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-04 14:00
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%4.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-07-04 14:00