Langue:Français
Jiri Lehecka v Jaume Munar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prévision 74.47%1.34cote équitable
EV -0.957%
Avantage -0.719%
Kelly -2.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%74.31%74.30%77.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.62%78.43%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jaume Munar (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.53%3.92cote équitable
EV +8.51%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +2.62%
Croissance +0.223%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%25.69%25.70%29.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.604.2531.25%27.69%27.74%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 74.47% ; Jaume Munar (Visiteur) : 25.53%. Pour Jaume Munar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.92. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +8.51%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.51%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.223% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.66%E +0.901%K +1.20%G +0.044% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 13:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.30%E -5.72%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |