La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jiri Lehecka v Jaume Munar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jiri Lehecka (Casa)
Previsione 74.47%1.34quota equa
EV -0.957%
Vantaggio -0.719%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%74.31%74.30%77.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.62%78.43%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jaume Munar (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.53%3.92quota equa
EV +8.51%
Vantaggio +2.00%
Kelly +2.62%
Crescita +0.223%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%25.69%25.70%29.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.613.604.2531.25%27.69%27.74%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.51%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.223% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.66%E +0.901%K +1.20%G +0.044% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| ReBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 13:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.30%E -5.72%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Novig | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |