Die Wettquotenschule

Jiri Lehecka v Jaume Munar

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-04 14:02 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 74.47%1.34faire Quote
EV -0.957%
Vorteil -0.719%
Kelly -2.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.96%74.31%74.30%77.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.62%78.43%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jaume Munar (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.53%3.92faire Quote
EV +8.51%
Vorteil +2.00%
Kelly +2.62%
Wachstum +0.223%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%25.69%25.70%29.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.613.604.2531.25%27.69%27.74%23.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.51%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.223%5.5%2026-07-04 13:59
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.66%E +0.901%K +1.20%G +0.044%2.8%2026-07-04 13:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015%5.0%2026-07-04 13:45
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015%5.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015%7.0%2026-07-04 13:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 13:45
ReBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 13:44
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 13:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 13:44
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 13:59
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 14:00
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 13:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 13:45
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 13:44
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:45
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 13:55
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 13:59
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 14:00
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 13:45
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 14:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:58
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 14:00
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 14:00
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:00
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 13:45
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:00
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 13:45
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 14:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 14:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:00
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 14:00
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 14:00
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 14:00
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.30%E -5.72%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-04 14:00
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-07-04 14:00
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%4.0%2026-07-04 14:00
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-07-04 14:00