La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Jaume Munar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 74.47%1.34momio equitativo
EV -0.957%
Ventaja -0.719%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.96%74.31%74.30%77.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.62%78.43%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jaume Munar (Visitante)
Predicción 25.53%3.92momio equitativo
EV +8.51%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +2.62%
Crecimiento +0.223%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%25.69%25.70%29.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.604.2531.25%27.69%27.74%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +8.51%E +2.00%K +2.62%G +0.223% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.66%E +0.901%K +1.20%G +0.044% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.13%E +0.531%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| ReBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.427%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.98%E -0.784%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.53%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.69%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.31%EV -7.32%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 13:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.09%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.64%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.45%E -1.87%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.19%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -14.47%E -4.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.75%E -4.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.957%E -0.719%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -17.02%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.30%E -5.72%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Novig | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |