The School of Odds

Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca

Matchstart: 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Jesper De Jong (Hemma)

Prognos 16.76%5.97rättvist odds
EV +7.28%
Fördel +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Tillväxt +0.098%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 83.24%1.20rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
FanDuel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Pinnacle6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 13:10
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:48
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:30
MyBookie.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:30
NetBet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:50
DraftKings5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:10
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
GTbets5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:40
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 07:29
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:18
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 21:09
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:28
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:29
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:00
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 09:30
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 09:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 13:20
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%1.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Novig6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50