StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca

Matchstart: 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jesper De Jong (Hemma)

Prognos 16.76%5.97rättvist odds
EV +7.28%
Fördel +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Tillväxt +0.098%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 83.24%1.20rättvist odds
EV -1.78%
Fördel -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jesper De Jong (Hemma): 16.76%; Joao Fonseca (Borta): 83.24%. För Jesper De Jong (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.97. 12 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.28%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
FanDuel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Pinnacle🎯6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 13:10
1xBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
ReBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:48
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Fanatics🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:50
DraftKings🎯5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:10
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Neds🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
GTbets🎯5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
NordicBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 07:29
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:18
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 21:09
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:28
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:00
Dabble (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 09:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 13:20
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%1.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Novig6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50