Idioma:Português
Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Jesper De Jong (Local)
Previsão 16.76%5.97odd justa
EV +7.28%
Vantagem +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.098%
pressupondo odds máximas de 6.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Previsão 83.24%1.20odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jesper De Jong (Local): 16.76%; Joao Fonseca (Visitante): 83.24%. Para Jesper De Jong (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.97. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.28%.
Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 07:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:28 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |