La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jesper De Jong (Local)
Predicción 16.76%5.97momio equitativo
EV +7.28%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.098%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 83.24%1.20momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Pinnacle | 6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| ReBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betsson | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:10 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| GTbets | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 07:29 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:18 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Casumo | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| betPARX | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:28 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Bally Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| TAB | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:20 |
| ProphetX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Novig | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |