Die Wettquotenschule

Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jesper De Jong (Heim)

Prognose 16.76%5.97faire Quote
EV +7.28%
Vorteil +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Wachstum +0.098%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 83.24%1.20faire Quote
EV -1.78%
Vorteil -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
FanDuel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Pinnacle6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 13:10
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:48
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:30
MyBookie.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:30
NetBet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:50
DraftKings5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:10
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
GTbets5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:40
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 07:29
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:18
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 21:09
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:28
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:29
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:00
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 09:30
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 09:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 13:20
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%1.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Novig6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50