Школа коэффициентов

Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca

Начало: 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jesper De Jong (Хозяева)

Прогноз 16.76%5.97справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.28%
Преимущество +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
Рост +0.098%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Joao Fonseca (Гости)

Прогноз 83.24%1.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
FanDuel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Pinnacle6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 13:10
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 13:30
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:48
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:30
MyBookie.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 13:30
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:30
NetBet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:00
Betsson5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 13:30
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 13:50
DraftKings5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 13:10
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 09:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 11:50
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 12:00
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 12:00
GTbets5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 13:30
NordicBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:40
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 07:29
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 13:18
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 21:09
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 13:30
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:28
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:30
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 09:29
TAB4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 09:29
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 11:00
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 09:30
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 09:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-07-01 13:50
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-07-01 13:20
ProphetX6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86%1.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-07-01 13:50
Novig6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%4.2%2026-07-01 13:50