مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Jesper De Jong v Joao Fonseca
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Jesper De Jong (المضيف)
التنبؤ 16.76%5.97السعر العادل
EV +7.28%
الأفضلية +1.14%
Kelly +1.35%
النمو +0.098%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.89%16.92%17.04%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.395.506.4021.74%18.54%18.18%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Joao Fonseca (الضيف)
التنبؤ 83.24%1.20السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -1.51%
Kelly -9.89%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.18
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.00%83.08%82.96%85.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.151.141.1890.09%86.98%87.72%84.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +7.28%E +1.14%K +1.35%G +0.098% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.93%E +0.634%K +0.756%G +0.030% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.61%E -6.85%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Pinnacle | 6.09I 16.42%NM 16.00%EV +2.09%E +0.342%K +0.410%G +0.009% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.00%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +1.41%E +0.234%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| ReBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:48 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.577%E +0.096%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -2.78%E -0.479%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.77%E -6.05%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.61%E -0.629%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betsson | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.67%EV -5.29%E -0.936%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.33%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.13%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -6.97%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.09%EV -7.30%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.91%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 13:10 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 09:19 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 11:50 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.80%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.94%E -5.26%K -45.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.48%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:00 |
| GTbets | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.79%EV -10.15%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.00%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 07:29 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 13:18 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.19%E -3.24%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.11%E -4.48%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 21:09 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -18.70%E -3.86%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Casumo | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| betPARX | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:28 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| Bally Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| TAB | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -19.54%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.78%E -1.51%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 11:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -20.38%E -4.29%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -2.61%E -2.23%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -21.21%E -4.51%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -3.44%E -2.97%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -22.89%E -4.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -4.28%E -3.72%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-01 09:30 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 13:20 |
| ProphetX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.14% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.86% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |
| Novig | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 13:50 |