The School of Odds

Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev

2026-07-11 09:00 UTC — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prediction 77.90%1.28fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.844%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.93%77.87%79.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2785%82%82%79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visit)

Prediction 22.10%4.52fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +0.828%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%22.07%22.13%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.704.244.204.7027%24%24%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.89%E +0.828%K +1.05%G +0.041%5.3%2026-07-10 18:49
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -4.19%E -3.41%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +3.45%E +0.737%K +0.937%G +0.032%2.7%2026-07-10 19:05
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.78%E +0.599%K +0.763%G +0.021%4.8%2026-07-10 18:45
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.68%E +0.365%K +0.466%G +0.008%5.1%2026-07-10 18:39
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.10%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.90%EV +1.24%E +0.270%K +0.346%G +0.004%4.5%2026-07-10 17:54
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 18:44
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 19:04
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 18:50
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 19:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 18:29
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.531%E -0.118%K -0.152%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 18:44
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.28%EV -1.86%E -0.418%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -2.74%E -0.623%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 18:44
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.85%E -0.884%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:59
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.29%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 18:14
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.29%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 18:43
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 18:43
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 18:34
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 19:00
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -1.07%E -0.844%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV -5.62%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 18:49
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-10 18:39
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 19:10
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 18:44
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 18:55
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 18:55
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.50%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 18:44
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.76%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.24%EV -6.50%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 18:44
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:09
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:04
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:05
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:10
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:10
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:09
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:09
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:04
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 18:04
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.63%E -2.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.19%E -3.41%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 18:44
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 18:44
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 18:50
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 19:09
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.75%E -4.75%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -8.27%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 18:44
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.19%E -3.41%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 18:05
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.19%E -3.41%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 18:49
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 19:14
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.53%E -5.44%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.37%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 18:44
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.41%E -2.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 18:04
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 19:10
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.58%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 19:14
ReBet1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -7.30%E -6.14%K -38.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -14.90%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 18:44
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.97%E -4.07%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.11%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 18:47
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.08%E -6.85%K -44.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -18.21%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-10 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-07-10 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-07-10 19:00
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%4.8%2026-07-10 19:05
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%5.9%2026-07-10 18:51
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%11.8%2026-07-10 19:05