Language:English
Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Prediction 80.08%1.25fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -6.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.70%80.09%80.18%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2387.72%84.60%84.75%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV +14.56%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +3.07%
Growth +0.447%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%19.91%19.82%22.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.804.785.7523.53%20.84%20.94%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +14.56%E +2.53%K +3.07%G +0.447% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +6.39%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.094% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| Bovada | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.81%EV +3.21%E +0.619%K +0.767%G +0.025% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| betano_uk | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 14:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -1.51%E -1.22%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| betPARX | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.34%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 15:03 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |