La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Predicción 80.08%1.25momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -6.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.70%80.09%80.18%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.181.181.2387.72%84.60%84.75%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 19.92%5.02momio equitativo
EV +14.56%
Ventaja +2.53%
Kelly +3.07%
Crecimiento +0.447%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.67%19.91%19.82%22.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.804.785.7523.53%20.84%20.94%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +14.56%E +2.53%K +3.07%G +0.447% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +6.39%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.094% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| Bovada | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.81%EV +3.21%E +0.619%K +0.767%G +0.025% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| betano_uk | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 14:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -1.51%E -1.22%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| betPARX | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.34%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 15:03 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |