语言:简体中文
Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jannik Sinner (主队)
预测 80.08%1.25公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -6.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.23
博彩公司预测分布
77.70%80.09%80.18%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.181.181.2387.72%84.60%84.75%81.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alexander Zverev (客队)
预测 19.92%5.02公平赔率
EV +14.56%
优势 +2.53%
Kelly +3.07%
增长率 +0.447%
假设最高赔率为 5.75
博彩公司预测分布
16.67%19.91%19.82%22.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.254.804.785.7523.53%20.84%20.94%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jannik Sinner (主队)：80.08%；Alexander Zverev (客队)：19.92%。 对于“Alexander Zverev (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.02。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.75，对应+14.56%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +14.56%E +2.53%K +3.07%G +0.447% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +6.39%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.094% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.81%EV +3.21%E +0.619%K +0.767%G +0.025% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 14:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -1.51%E -1.22%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.34%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-12 15:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 15:10 |