مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-07-12 15:13 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jannik Sinner (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.08%1.25السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -6.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.70%80.09%80.18%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.181.181.2387.72%84.60%84.75%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.92%5.02السعر العادل
EV +14.56%
الأفضلية +2.53%
Kelly +3.07%
النمو +0.447%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.67%19.91%19.82%22.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.254.804.785.7523.53%20.84%20.94%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +14.56%E +2.53%K +3.07%G +0.447%4.3%2026-07-12 15:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204%5.9%2026-07-12 15:09
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.71%E -7.64%K -62.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +9.58%E +1.74%K +2.13%G +0.204%5.9%2026-07-12 15:09
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +7.59%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.131%4.7%2026-07-12 14:59
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV +6.39%E +1.20%K +1.47%G +0.094%3.5%2026-07-12 15:04
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +5.60%E +1.06%K +1.30%G +0.073%2.9%2026-07-12 15:08
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +4.60%E +0.877%K +1.08%G +0.050%4.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.19%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.81%EV +3.21%E +0.619%K +0.767%G +0.025%2.6%2026-07-12 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 15:04
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 14:45
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:09
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:44
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 15:05
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:45
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:08
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.379%E -0.076%K -0.095%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:08
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 15:04
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:10
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.37%E -0.484%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:09
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.37%E -0.694%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:59
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:45
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 14:44
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.36%E -0.909%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
Dabble (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:10
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.31%E -5.39%K -37.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:09
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:05
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:04
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 15:05
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.96%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 14:58
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 14:59
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:59
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.35%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 15:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -1.51%E -1.22%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 14:44
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:07
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 15:10
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.91%E -6.88%K -52.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.35%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:09
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 15:05
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:44
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 14:45
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.34%E -2.55%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 14:44
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:45
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.33%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 15:03
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 14:44
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.32%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 15:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:10
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-07-12 15:05
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-07-12 15:10
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-07-12 15:10
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-07-12 15:10